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Biology / Ecology

Peers over the past: prior predation-risk experience does not dictate antipredator responses of individuals in groups

Author names withheld — follow the preprint link below for the original work and its full attribution.

Preprint license: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

Pre-generated example — not run live. PsiPi had no role in this paper's real review or outcome; author names and the source abstract are withheld, and this shows only what our AI pipeline says about the publicly posted preprint linked above.

Editorial screening (would proceed)

Dear Authors, thank you for submitting your work to Biology Letters. Your study on how social context modulates the behavioral carryover of predation risk provides an interesting conceptual extension to current understanding of antipredator strategies. Because the manuscript addresses a non-obvious interaction between individual experience and group dynamics, it meets the threshold for further evaluation at a highly selective specialist journal. Please note that this screening assessment was made by a language model and is not a real editorial decision; however, your manuscript will now proceed to full review. Sincerely, Handling Editor, PsiPi.

Editor's synthesis & decision

Major Revision
Dear Authors, Thank you for submitting your work on the social modulation of behavioral carryover in Aedes aegypti pupae. Your study addresses an important question in evolutionary ecology, and the reviewers generally agree that your experimental system is elegant and your statistical approach is well-suited to the nested nature of your data. However, there is a consensus that the manuscript requires significant strengthening before it can be considered for publication in Biology Letters. Reviewer 1 and Reviewer 3 have raised critical concerns regarding the reproducibility of your methodology. Specifically, the lack of detail regarding the preparation of chemical cues and the physical setup of the predator-exposure phase makes it difficult for others to replicate your findings. Furthermore, the absence of a parallel solitary control treatment—relying instead on historical data—weakens your comparative claims. You must address these methodological gaps, either by providing a more rigorous justification for your comparative approach or by tempering your conclusions to acknowledge these limitations. Additionally, Reviewer 3 has highlighted the need for full transparency regarding your data and code. To meet the standards of the journal, you must provide a public repository link for your raw tracking data and analysis scripts. You should also clarify the tracking methodology used for unmarked individuals in group settings to address concerns regarding potential observer bias. Please ensure that all figures and captions are updated to accurately reflect the data presented, particularly regarding the space-use panels. While your findings are interesting, they are currently presented with a level of certainty that the data, given the noted limitations, does not fully support. Addressing these points will be essential for the manuscript to be considered further. Please note that these reviews and this synthesis were generated by language models and do not constitute a formal editorial decision with standing. Sincerely, Chief Editor, PsiPi

Revision requests

  • Provide a detailed, reproducible protocol for the preparation of predator-cue water, including predator density, incubation duration, and feeding regimes.
  • Clarify the physical setup of the larval predator-exposure phase, specifically whether containers were perforated to allow chemical cue exchange.
  • Address the lack of a parallel solitary control treatment by either tempering comparative claims or providing a robust statistical justification for the cross-study comparison.
  • Provide a public repository link (e.g., Dryad, Zenodo, or GitHub) for all raw tracking data and R analysis scripts.
  • Explain the methodology for tracking three unmarked, morphologically identical individuals within a group to demonstrate how identity was maintained and observer bias was minimized.
  • Revise figure captions and text to ensure consistency, particularly regarding the 'Surface', 'Middle', and 'Bottom' space-use data.

Where this could be published

At its current quality

Solid specialist journals in behavioral ecology

  • Ethology
  • Journal of Insect Behavior
  • Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology

Then you could realistically aim for

Selective broad-interest journals in evolutionary biology

  • Biology Letters
  • Proceedings of the Royal Society B
  • Journal of Animal Ecology

The current manuscript sits comfortably in specialist behavioral journals, but reaching a broader-audience venue requires a more robust comparative framework and total transparency in data and methods. The single most important improvement is the inclusion of a parallel control or a more rigorous statistical justification for the comparison to historical data. This guidance is not a guarantee of acceptance, and you must verify the novelty of your findings against the most recent literature.

edited by model: gemini-flash-lite-latest

Reviewer comments — reproduced in full, unabridged

Reviewer 1

gemini-3.5-flash

This manuscript investigates whether prior predation-risk experience during the larval stage carries over to affect the antipredator behavior of Aedes aegypti pupae when tested in a group setting. This builds on the authors' previous work showing that solitary pupae exhibit clear behavioral carryover. Here, they find that in a group setting of five individuals, larval experience does not affect pupal diving, space use, or activity. Instead, both naive and experienced pupae respond similarly to immediate threat cues by moving to the surface and reducing activity. The authors conclude that social context alters the payoffs of antipredator behavior, rendering prior experience redundant. While the question is highly relevant to evolutionary ecology and fits the scope of a solid specialist journal, the study has several technical and conceptual limitations, most notably the lack of a parallel solitary control treatment, which weakens the comparative claims, and the potential for low statistical power to explain the null results.

Strengths

  • Addresses an understudied and important question: how social context modulates the expression of behavioral carryover of predation risk.
  • Uses an elegant study system (Aedes aegypti pupae) that eliminates confounding factors like feeding and mating competition.
  • Employs appropriate mixed-effects modeling to account for the nested structure of the group-level data.

Weaknesses

  • Lack of a parallel solitary control treatment, relying instead on historical data from a previous study to make direct comparisons about the effect of group living.
  • Potential lack of statistical power to support the strong claim of a true null effect of larval experience in groups.
  • Insufficient detail regarding the preparation, concentration, and nature of the chemical cues used for the immediate threat assay environment.
  • Large seasonal gap between the two experimental blocks (February vs. July 2022) which introduces uncontrolled environmental variation.

Detailed comments

The central thesis of the paper is a comparison between solitary and group behaviors, as stated in the introduction: 'In contrast to solitary settings, we predicted that the behavioural carryover would not manifest in a group setting due to differences in trade-offs.' However, the authors did not run a solitary treatment in parallel with the group treatments in this study. Instead, they compare their current results to a separate, previously published study ('Rawat et al., 2024'). This is a significant methodological issue because environmental conditions, colony generations, and baseline behaviors can vary between experimental rounds. To robustly claim that 'the group setting eliminated these behavioural differences,' the authors must test solitary and grouped individuals from the same cohort under identical conditions. At a minimum, they must explicitly discuss this limitation and temper their comparative assertions.

The authors repeatedly frame their non-significant findings as proof of absence. For example, they write: 'Our findings revealed that the past predation-risk experience did not influence the behaviour of individuals in a group setting.' However, a non-significant p-value does not prove the null hypothesis. Given the high individual variation typical of behavioral assays (as seen in the wide confidence intervals in Figure 1), the lack of a detectable effect could simply be due to insufficient statistical power. The authors should provide effect size estimates with confidence intervals and discuss the power of their design to detect the expected effect sizes based on their solitary study.

The description of the immediate threat cue is vague. In the Materials and Methods, the authors state: 'The pupae were then recorded in two behavioural assay environments: under immediate threat (using water with predation cues) or no immediate threat environments (control tap water).' It is unclear how this 'water with predation cues' was generated. Was it taken directly from the larval rearing trays where predators were housed in containers, or was it prepared separately? Did it contain alarm cues from crushed conspecifics, or only predator odor? The exact protocol for preparing these chemical cues must be detailed to ensure reproducibility and to rule out confounding chemical differences.

The experiments were conducted in 'two blocks of experiments in February and July 2022.' In India, February and July represent vastly different seasons (cool/dry vs. monsoon/wet), which can affect ambient laboratory humidity, pressure, and the physiological state of the mosquitoes. Table 1 shows a significant block effect for the variation in dive depth (p = 0.025). The authors should discuss how these seasonal differences might have influenced their results and whether the block effect interacted with the treatment effects.

Comments on figures

  • In Figure 1, panel (a) shows 'mean dive frequency' and panel (b) shows 'median dive depth,' but the y-axis of panel (b) is labeled 'Median dive depth in cm' while the caption states 'The bars indicate (a) mean dive frequency, (b) median dive depth...'. It is critical to clarify if the bars represent the mean of the medians or another metric, and why the error bars (95% bootstrap confidence intervals) are so large relative to the differences between treatments. Specifically, the overlap of the confidence intervals between the 'No pred. cues' and 'Pred. cues' treatments in panel (a) for both Naive and Experienced groups suggests that even the immediate threat did not have a robust effect on diving behavior, which contrasts with the strong assertions in the text.
  • In Figure 2, the y-axis is labeled 'Prop. time spent', but the panels are divided into 'Surface', 'Middle', and 'Bottom'. Since these proportions must sum to 1 for each individual, the data points within an individual are not independent. The authors state they used a 'multinomial mixed-effects model' to handle this, which is appropriate. However, the figure shows that the proportion of time spent at the bottom is highly variable and overlaps zero in its lower confidence intervals. The authors should clarify whether any individuals spent zero time at the bottom and how the model handled zero-inflation or boundary constraints in the beta/multinomial distributions.

Referee report rubric — reproduced exactly as submitted

Quality of experimental data, technical rigorTop 50%
Significance to researchers in this and related fieldsTop 50%
Broad interest to other researchersTop 50%
NoveltyModerate
Suitable for media coverage or a "First Reactions" piece?No
Recommendationmajor revision
Reviewer's self-reported confidence4/5

Reviewer 2

gemini-3.1-flash-lite

This manuscript investigates whether prior predation-risk experience influences the antipredator behavior of Aedes aegypti pupae in a group setting, building on the authors' previous work showing such carryover effects in solitary individuals. The authors find that, unlike in solitary settings, prior experience does not dictate behavior in groups, with immediate threat cues instead driving uniform responses across all individuals. The study is technically sound and provides a clear, albeit negative, result regarding the context-dependence of behavioral carryover. While the findings are incremental, they offer a valuable contribution to the understanding of how sociality modulates individual risk-assessment strategies. The manuscript is well-structured and appropriate for a specialist audience.

Strengths

  • Clear and logical experimental design that directly addresses the research question by comparing group-level results to previously established solitary-level data.
  • Robust statistical approach using mixed-effects models to account for the nested structure of the data (individuals within groups).
  • Effective use of a model system (mosquito pupae) that minimizes confounding factors like foraging competition.

Weaknesses

  • The discussion of potential mechanisms (e.g., 'social information transfer') is speculative and lacks direct evidence from the current experimental setup.
  • The manuscript relies heavily on comparing current results to a separate, previously published study ('Rawat et al., 2024') without re-presenting the key comparative data, which makes the contrast harder to evaluate directly.
  • The interpretation of 'no behavioural carryover' could be further strengthened by discussing whether the group size used (n=5) is sufficient to fully trigger the hypothesized 'group benefits' (e.g., dilution or confusion) that the authors cite as the reason for the lack of carryover.

Detailed comments

The authors state: 'In contrast to the solitary setting, where experienced pupae exhibited more frequent and shallower dives with greater variability in depth compared to naive pupae, the group setting eliminated these behavioural differences.' While this contrast is the central finding, the manuscript would benefit from a more nuanced discussion of why the 'antipredator shield' of the group specifically suppresses the expression of prior experience. Does the group environment impose a physical constraint on the individual's ability to express their learned behavior, or is the decision to ignore past experience an active, adaptive strategy? The authors touch on this, but a more explicit discussion of the trade-offs—perhaps referencing the energetic costs mentioned in the introduction—would improve the logical flow.

Regarding the interpretation of the results, the authors argue: 'The substantial effect of the immediate threat environment on naive pupae underscores the significance of an innate pupal response against a potential threat, which is amplified in a group.' This is a strong claim. To justify this, the authors should clarify if the magnitude of the response to the threat in the group setting is statistically greater than the response observed in the solitary setting (from their previous work). If the data only show that an effect exists in both, calling it 'amplified' in a group requires a direct statistical comparison of the effect sizes between the two contexts, which is currently missing.

Comments on figures

  • Figure 1: The plots show mean dive frequency, median dive depth, and variation in dive depth. The error bars (95% bootstrap CI) for the 'Naive' and 'Experienced' groups in both 'No pred. cues' and 'Pred. cues' conditions show significant overlap across all three panels. This visually confirms the text's conclusion that there is no discernible effect of larval experience. However, the y-axis for 'Mean no. of dives per 7 min' (a) shows a slight downward trend for both groups under 'Pred. cues'. While the text states this is not statistically significant, it would be helpful to clarify if this trend is consistent with the 'innate pupal response' mentioned later in the text.
  • Figure 2: The space use data clearly show a shift toward the surface in the presence of predation cues. The error bars for the 'Surface' and 'Middle' columns show that the shift is consistent across both naive and experienced individuals. The figure is well-labeled and supports the claim that the immediate threat environment is the primary driver of behavior in this setting.
  • Figure 3: The activity data show a clear decrease in activity under predation cues. The consistency of this decrease across both groups reinforces the conclusion that the immediate environment overrides prior experience. The figure is clear and the data presentation is appropriate.

Referee report rubric — reproduced exactly as submitted

Quality of experimental data, technical rigorTop 25%
Significance to researchers in this and related fieldsTop 50%
Broad interest to other researchersTop 50%
NoveltyModerate
Suitable for media coverage or a "First Reactions" piece?No
Recommendationminor revision
Reviewer's self-reported confidence4/5

Reviewer 3

gemini-3.5-flash

This manuscript investigates how prior larval predation-risk experience influences the antipredator behaviour of Aedes aegypti pupae when tested in a social (group) setting, contrasting these findings with previously documented carryover effects in solitary individuals. Using a 2x2 experimental design, the authors show that while solitary pupae exhibit strong behavioural carryover from larval risk experiences, individuals in groups of five do not show such carryover; instead, both experienced and naive individuals respond similarly to immediate threat cues by reducing activity and shifting space use toward the surface. The study addresses an important ecological question regarding how sociality modulates the costs and benefits of experience-mediated antipredator strategies. From a reproducibility and open-science perspective, the experimental framework is logical and the statistical treatment using mixed-effects models is appropriate. However, several critical methodological details regarding cue transmission, predator water preparation, and individual tracking within groups are omitted, and there is currently no link to a public data or code repository.

Strengths

  • The study addresses a highly relevant ecological question by testing how social context modulates the expression of experience-mediated antipredator behaviours.
  • Using the non-feeding pupal stage of Aedes aegypti is an elegant experimental choice that successfully eliminates resource competition as a confounding factor in group settings.
  • The statistical analysis is robust, employing mixed-effects models (GLMMs and LMMs) that correctly account for the nested structure of the data (individuals within groups) and experimental blocks.

Weaknesses

  • Critical details regarding the physical setup of the larval predator-exposure phase are missing, specifically whether the containers holding the predators allowed chemical cue exchange.
  • The preparation protocol for the 'water with predation cues' used during the behavioural assays is completely unspecified, preventing exact replication of the threat environment.
  • The methodology for tracking three specific, unmarked, and morphologically identical individuals within a free-swimming group of five is unexplained, raising concerns about observer bias and tracking fidelity.
  • The manuscript lacks a data and code availability statement, and does not provide a link to a public repository containing the raw video tracking data or R analysis scripts.

Detailed comments

To ensure the larval exposure phase can be replicated, the authors must clarify the physical properties of the predator containers. The manuscript states that larvae were reared 'with two dragonfly nymphs enclosed in 50 ml plastic containers' and that they 'experienced the predation risk through visual and chemical cues'. If the plastic containers were sealed, chemical cues (which are primary mediators of aquatic risk assessment) could not have diffused into the tray water. The authors must explicitly state whether these containers were perforated, the size/number of the perforations, and whether any active water exchange was facilitated. Without these details, the exposure protocol is not reproducible.

The preparation of the immediate threat environment is currently a 'black box' that hinders experimental replication. The authors state that pupae were recorded 'under immediate threat (using water with predation cues)'. Aquatic predator cues are highly variable and depend on predator density, incubation volume, duration of cue accumulation, and the predator's diet (e.g., whether they were recently fed conspecific prey to release alarm cues). The authors must provide a detailed protocol of how this cue water was generated, including the number of dragonfly nymphs used, the volume of water they were held in, the duration of holding, and their feeding regime prior to water collection.

Tracking individual behaviour in a group of identical, unmarked animals is highly challenging and prone to error. The authors note: 'We recorded pupae in groups of five. Three individuals per group were randomly selected and followed for behavioural data'. Because mosquito pupae are morphologically indistinguishable and move rapidly during active diving events, they can easily swap positions. The authors must explain how the observers maintained the identity of the three selected individuals over the 10-minute recording period. If specialized multi-object tracking software was used, its parameters and error rates should be reported; if manual tracking was performed, the authors should clarify if individuals were tracked sequentially from video recordings (e.g., tracking individual 1 for 10 minutes, then re-playing to track individual 2) to prevent identity loss.

In accordance with modern open-science standards and the editorial policies of Biology Letters, all raw data and analysis code must be publicly archived. The manuscript currently refers to a preprint for details ('Detailed experimental protocols are provided in Rawat et al., 2024') and mentions supplementary tables (Tables S1–S4) that are not embedded. To ensure full transparency, the authors should deposit their raw tracking datasets, R scripts for the mixed-effects models, and supplementary tables in a public repository (such as Dryad, Zenodo, or GitHub) and provide the corresponding DOI or temporary access link in the manuscript.

Comments on figures

  • In Figure 1, panel (b) ('Dive depth'), the median dive depth is plotted as approximately 7.5 to 8.0 cm within a 10 cm deep water column. Given that the bottom 2 cm is defined as the 'predator zone' in the text, this suggests pupae are diving nearly to the physical limit of the container. The authors should discuss whether a physical boundary effect (bottom of the container) constrained the expression of dive depth variation. Additionally, the caption states that 'Error bars represent 95% bootstrap confidence intervals'; the authors should clarify if the bootstrapping was performed at the individual level or clustered at the group level to account for the non-independence of individuals within the same group.
  • In Figure 2, the caption states that the figure shows 'space use patterns of naive and experienced pupae, focussing on the surface vs. middle water column.' However, the figure itself contains three distinct panels: 'Surface', 'Middle', and 'Bottom'. The caption should be updated to accurately reflect that all three layers of the water column are presented, and the text should clarify how the proportion of time spent at the bottom layer (which appears stable at ~15-19% across all treatments) relates to the overall shift from the middle to the surface under threat.

Referee report rubric — reproduced exactly as submitted

Quality of experimental data, technical rigorTop 50%
Significance to researchers in this and related fieldsTop 50%
Broad interest to other researchersTop 50%
NoveltyModerate
Suitable for media coverage or a "First Reactions" piece?No
Recommendationminor revision
Reviewer's self-reported confidence4/5

This document was generated by PsiPi, an AI-assisted manuscript review tool. It is not a product of real peer review, was not issued by any journal, and creates no publication record. The reviews and editorial synthesis above were written by large language models and may contain errors, omissions, or hallucinated claims — treat them as a starting point for revision, not as an authoritative expert assessment.